Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.