Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Genk had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
Result | ||
Club Brugge | Draw | Genk |
49.55% ( -0.23) | 23.18% ( 0.1) | 27.27% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 59.95% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.04% ( -0.39) | 40.96% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.64% ( -0.4) | 63.35% ( 0.4) |
Club Brugge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.28% ( -0.23) | 16.71% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.38% ( -0.41) | 46.61% ( 0.41) |
Genk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% ( -0.11) | 28.01% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.33% ( -0.14) | 63.66% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Club Brugge | Draw | Genk |
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.27% |
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