No Serie A side has scored fewer away goals than Fiorentina in 2024, and only one has earned fewer points on the road. While Salernitana are so often shoddy at the back, the Viola may not be best placed to capitalise - particularly with one eye on an upcoming cup semi-final.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
0.72) 
-0.81) 
