These are two deserving finalists with plenty of experienced players who have a knack for showing up in big moments, and indeed, this encounter could go either way. In the end, we have a little more faith in Nancy, who always seems to get his tactics right, while his side may have a psychological edge, having thumped LAFC earlier in the 2024 MLS campaign (5-1). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	Los Angeles FC
48.58%	23.85%	27.57%

Both teams to score 57.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.21%

43.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.82%

66.18%

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84%

18.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.87%

49.13%

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74%

29.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.78%

65.22%

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 48.58%

Los Angeles FC 27.57%

Draw 23.84%

Columbus Crew	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 5.41% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.56% Total : 48.58%	1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.84%	1-2 @ 6.84% 0-1 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.35% Total : 27.57%