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LA
Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Rose Bowl
SJ

Los Angeles
4 - 1
Earthquakes

Olivera (17'), Bouanga (45+5' pen., 66'), Bogusz (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lopez (41')
Yarbrough (45+2'), Russell (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Austin
Thursday, August 8 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Los Angeles FC 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes

The Quakes away record speaks for itself, and a side as opportunistic as LAFC should not need to do much to expose that leaky San Jose backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 12.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
71.08% (0.53299999999999 0.53) 15.95% (-0.174 -0.17) 12.97% (-0.361 -0.36)
Both teams to score 61.24% (-0.429 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.04% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)27.96% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.31% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)48.69% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.01% (0.090999999999994 0.09)6.99% (-0.0941 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.41% (0.245 0.25)25.6% (-0.248 -0.25)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.85% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53)34.15% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.16% (-0.57 -0.57)70.85% (0.56700000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 71.08%
    San Jose Earthquakes 12.97%
    Draw 15.95%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 8.05% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.128 0.13)
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.98% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.33% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.85% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.65% (0.071 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.26% (0.022 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.18% (0.037 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 71.08%
1-1 @ 6.83% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.95%
1-2 @ 3.67% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-1 @ 2.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 12.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Austin
Thursday, August 8 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-2 Vancouver (0-0 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Tijuana
Saturday, July 27 at 4am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Seattle 0-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, July 18 at 3.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-5 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 5-0 Necaxa
Friday, August 9 at 4am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, August 1 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-1 Earthquakes (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, July 28 at 3am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Houston
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


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