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Club Friendlies 3
Jul 28, 2024 at 1am UK
Lower.com Field
AV

Columbus Crew
4 - 1
Aston Villa

Camilo Hernandez (14', 39', 45'), Chambost (52')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Archer (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 0-3 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Columbus Crew 1-2 Aston Villa

We are expecting a competitive match on Saturday, which is exactly what Emery will want at this stage of Villa's preparations for the new campaign. It would not be a surprise to see a draw, but Villa should have enough quality to continue their winning run in friendlies this summer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawAston Villa
51.58% (-0.052 -0.05) 22.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 25.55% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.43% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)40.93% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (0.010999999999996 0.01)63.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)15.97% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)45.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)29.27% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (0.047999999999995 0.05)65.24% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 51.58%
    Aston Villa 25.55%
    Draw 22.86%
Columbus CrewDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 51.58%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 25.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-5 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville
Thursday, July 4 at 1.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-5 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 0-3 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Walsall 0-3 Aston Villa
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Walsall 0-3 Aston Villa
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crystal Palace 5-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Liverpool
Monday, May 13 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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