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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.94%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 19.06% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 3-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (5.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
61.94% ( -1.29) | 19% ( 0.45) | 19.06% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 64.27% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.45% ( -0.78) | 30.55% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.15% ( -0.94) | 51.85% ( 0.95) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.4% ( -0.52) | 9.6% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.9% ( -1.23) | 32.1% ( 1.24) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.33) | 28.9% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( 0.4) | 64.77% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.92% Total : 61.94% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 19% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.97% Total : 19.06% |
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