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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%).
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York City FC |
51.85% ( 0.78) | 23.52% ( -0.21) | 24.63% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.22% ( 0.42) | 44.77% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% ( 0.41) | 67.13% ( -0.4) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( 0.45) | 17.29% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( 0.78) | 47.63% ( -0.77) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( -0.23) | 32.08% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( -0.27) | 68.55% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.63% |
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