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Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
CC

Atlanta
2 - 1
Columbus Crew

Rode Gregersen (60', 77')
Muyumba (25'), Guzan (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rossi (36')
Cheberko (29')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 NY City
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-3 Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late and given their form heading into this one, we can see them coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.48%) and 3-1 (5.25%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawColumbus Crew
42.84% (-3.941 -3.94) 22.1% (0.517 0.52) 35.05% (3.422 3.42)
Both teams to score 68.43% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.32% (-1.317 -1.32)31.67% (1.312 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.82% (-1.563 -1.56)53.18% (1.559 1.56)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (-1.895 -1.9)15.62% (1.89 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.38% (-3.632 -3.63)44.62% (3.629 3.63)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (1.089 1.09)18.9% (-1.091 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.6% (1.783 1.78)50.39% (-1.786 -1.79)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 42.84%
    Columbus Crew 35.05%
    Draw 22.1%
Atlanta UnitedDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-0 @ 5.48% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.519 -0.52)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.323 -0.32)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.432 -0.43)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.427 -0.43)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.275 -0.28)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.316 -0.32)
4-3 @ 1.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.233 -0.23)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 42.84%
1-1 @ 9.13% (0.358 0.36)
2-2 @ 7.06% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.95% (0.207 0.21)
3-3 @ 2.43% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.544 0.54)
0-1 @ 4.92% (0.5 0.5)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.434 0.43)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.54 0.54)
2-3 @ 3.92% (0.159 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.367 0.37)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.234 0.23)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.119 0.12)
3-4 @ 1.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 NY City
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Atlanta
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 5-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 7 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 4 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-5 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville
Thursday, July 4 at 1.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-5 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Kansas
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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