Experience will favour the visitors, but we expect the Crew to come out aggressively at home and find a way to earn a result, given their strong form at Lower.com Field and their ability to react well when suffering a setback throughout this competition.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.01) 
