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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Portland Timbers |
62.97% ( 0.55) | 20.27% ( 0.07) | 16.75% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( -1.44) | 40.83% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( -1.49) | 63.22% ( 1.5) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.63% ( -0.28) | 12.37% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.77% ( -0.6) | 38.22% ( 0.61) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( -1.59) | 37.64% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.59% ( -1.59) | 74.41% ( 1.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.53)3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.62% Total : 62.97% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.24% Total : 16.75% |
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