Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.04) 
