Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
