Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 34.65%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.83%) and 1-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (13.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.31) 
