Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
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