Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Concarneau had a probability of 26.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Concarneau win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
