Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.