Despite America FC pushing Corinthians all the way in the first leg of the game, the hosts have not lost any of their last six home games heading into this one, and we expect them to continue that streak with a victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for America de Natal had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for an America de Natal win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	America de Natal
64.59% ( -0)	20.71%	14.7% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.4% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.29% (

46.71% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.02% (

68.98% (

-0)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.28% (

-0)

13.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.03% (

-0)

40.96%

America de Natal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.09% (

0.01)

43.91% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.95% (

0.01)

80.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 64.59%

America de Natal 14.7%

Draw 20.71%

Corinthians	Draw	America de Natal
1-0 @ 11.96% 2-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.48% 4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.67% Total : 64.59%	1-1 @ 9.85% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.71%	0-1 @ 4.96% 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.04% 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.7%