Brasileiro | Gameweek 5

May 4, 2024 at 8pm UK

Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
vs.
Fortaleza

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Fluminense
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Fortaleza

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, April 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Corinthians win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Fortaleza has a probability of 30.2% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Fortaleza win is 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.34%).

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Fortaleza
43.85% ( -3.02)	25.95% ( 0.14)	30.2% ( 2.88)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.6% (

0.9)

51.4% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.79% (

0.78)

73.21% (

-0.78)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67% (

-1.03)

23.33% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.71% (

-1.52)

57.28% (

1.52)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.72% (

2.63)

31.28% (

-2.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37% (

2.95)

67.63% (

-2.96)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 43.85%

Fortaleza 30.2%

Draw 25.95%

Corinthians	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.72) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.78) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.51) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 43.85%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.32) Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.2%