Corinthians have struggled for results in recent weeks and find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table. However, Laruccia's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we fancy them to see off Criciuma who have lost four of their last five away matches across all competitions since April.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Corinthians in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Corinthians.
-1.41) 
0.44) 
