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Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Jul 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Central Park

Cowdenbeath
4 - 2
Kilmarnock II

McLean (11', 74'), McDonald (72'), Kerr (90')
McLaughlin (56'), Jordan (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McLean (37' og.), Cooper (41')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Cowdenbeath and Kilmarnock II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cowdenbeath 0-1 St Mirren
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3East Fife0nan
4Edinburgh0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stirling0nan
10Stranraer0nan
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 1-1 Dumbarton (8-9 pen.)
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3East Fife0nan
4Edinburgh0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stirling0nan
10Stranraer0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cowdenbeath win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Kilmarnock II had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cowdenbeath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Kilmarnock II win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cowdenbeath would win this match.

Result
CowdenbeathDrawKilmarnock II
55.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 20.03% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 68.26% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)28.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.4% (-0.012 -0.01)49.59% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Cowdenbeath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.48% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)10.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.8% (-0.012 -0.01)34.19% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Kilmarnock II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.85%
Score Analysis
    Cowdenbeath 55.91%
    Kilmarnock II 24.06%
    Draw 20.03%
CowdenbeathDrawKilmarnock II
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.33%
1-0 @ 5.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.75%
4-1 @ 3.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.25%
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 55.91%
1-1 @ 8.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 2.49%
3-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 20.03%
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.14%
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.13%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 0-1 St Mirren
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 1-1 Montrose (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Cowdenbeath (3-3 pen.)
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Forfar 1-0 Cowdenbeath
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Edinburgh 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 1-1 Dumbarton (8-9 pen.)
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 3-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Montrose 4-2 Kilmarnock II
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 5-2 East Stirling
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup


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