Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cowdenbeath win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Kilmarnock II had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cowdenbeath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Kilmarnock II win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cowdenbeath would win this match.
-0.01) 
0) 
