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FA
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Station Park
C

Forfar
1 - 0
Cowdenbeath

Inglis (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Forfar Athletic and Cowdenbeath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forfar 1-0 East Fife
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3Dumbarton0nan
4East Fife0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stenhousemuir0nan
10Stranraer0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.

Result
Forfar AthleticDrawCowdenbeath
54.86% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 22.61% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.52% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)42.92% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.67% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)65.32% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)15.55% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.5% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.5% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Cowdenbeath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)32.88% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)69.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Forfar Athletic 54.86%
    Cowdenbeath 22.52%
    Draw 22.61%
Forfar AthleticDrawCowdenbeath
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 54.86%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 22.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Forfar 1-0 East Fife
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stirling 2-1 Forfar
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 2-0 Forfar
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 0-0 Forfar
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 2-1 Albion Rovers
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Edinburgh 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 0-2 St Mirren
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Wednesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 0-3 Airdrieonians
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 0-1 Albion Rovers
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two


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