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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Central Park
SM

Cowdenbeath
0 - 1
St Mirren


Hill (32'), Smith (83')
Smith (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olusanya (90+4')
Taylor (48')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Cowdenbeath and St Mirren.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cowdenbeath 1-1 Montrose (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3Dumbarton0nan
4East Fife0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stenhousemuir0nan
10Stranraer0nan
Last Game: St Mirren 4-0 Arbroath
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 87.08%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 3.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.36%) and 0-4 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.43%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 1-0 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
CowdenbeathDrawSt Mirren
3.59% (2.261 2.26) 9.33% (4.2389 4.24) 87.08% (-6.501 -6.5)
Both teams to score 37.66% (9.53 9.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.7% (-6.904 -6.9)31.3% (6.904 6.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.26% (-8.618 -8.62)52.74% (8.617 8.62)
Cowdenbeath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.56% (10.649 10.65)60.44% (-10.649 -10.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.13% (4.475 4.48)90.88% (-4.476 -4.48)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.21% (-2.107 -2.11)4.79% (2.106 2.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.67% (-6.954 -6.95)19.33% (6.952 6.95)
Score Analysis
    Cowdenbeath 3.59%
    St Mirren 87.06%
    Draw 9.33%
CowdenbeathDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 1.46% (0.806 0.81)
2-1 @ 1.11% (0.713 0.71)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 3.59%
1-1 @ 4.43% (2.074 2.07)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.987 0.99)
2-2 @ 1.69% (0.968 0.97)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 9.33%
0-3 @ 13.53% (-1.52 -1.52)
0-2 @ 13.36% (0.89 0.89)
0-4 @ 10.28% (-3.34 -3.34)
0-1 @ 8.79% (1.897 1.9)
1-3 @ 6.82% (1.679 1.68)
1-2 @ 6.73% (2.47 2.47)
0-5 @ 6.25% (-3.608 -3.61)
1-4 @ 5.18% (0.532 0.53)
0-6 @ 3.17% (-2.781 -2.78)
1-5 @ 3.15% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.84 0.84)
1-6 @ 1.6% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-7 @ 1.38% (-1.7 -1.7)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.511 0.51)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 87.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 1-1 Montrose (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Cowdenbeath (3-3 pen.)
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Forfar 1-0 Cowdenbeath
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Edinburgh 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 0-2 St Mirren
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: St Mirren 4-0 Arbroath
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Montrose 1-0 St Mirren
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: St Mirren 0-3 Rangers
Saturday, May 27 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-0 St Mirren
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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