Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.