Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 47%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
