Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
