Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
