Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
0.43) 
-0.02) 
