This is a clash between a home team that has struggled at home and an away team that has been underwhelming on the road. The last three encounters between them have been tight, and we anticipate another close contest, with the score level at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Cruzeiro
30.33% ( 0.42)	27.5% ( 0.34)	42.17% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 48.08% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.65% (

-1.1)

57.35% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.83% (

-0.88)

78.17% (

0.88)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

-0.26)

34.27% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03% (

-0.28)

70.97% (

0.28)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

-0.91)

26.85% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84% (

-1.21)

62.16% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 30.33%

Cruzeiro 42.17%

Draw 27.49%

Criciuma	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.33%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 2% Total : 42.17%