Whether Cuiaba's magnificent attacking display versus Criciuma is a sign of things to come remains to be seen, but facing a Cruzeiro side who hitherto boasted a terrific defensive streak is a different proposition entirely.
With the hosts also having last weekend off to recuperate, the fresh legs and revered attackers in Seabra's ranks could prove the difference as the Foxes quickly get back on track.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cruzeiro.
-0.09) 
0.04) 
