Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Cruzeiro |
28.8% ( 4.03) | 26.06% ( 1.82) | 45.14% ( -5.85) |
Both teams to score 51.58% ( -2.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.52% ( -4.73) | 52.47% ( 4.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.85% ( -4.21) | 74.15% ( 4.21) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% ( 0.7) | 32.86% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.57% ( 0.77) | 69.43% ( -0.77) |
Cruzeiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.82% ( -4.45) | 23.18% ( 4.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.94% ( -6.96) | 57.06% ( 6.95) |
Score Analysis |
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Cruzeiro |
1-0 @ 8.48% ( 1.61) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.97) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.39) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.8% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.9) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 1.33) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.57) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.96) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.96) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.48) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.64) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.61) Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.14% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: