Both sides will view this match as an opportunity to put three points on the board, and it would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away win here. The two teams are relatively well-matched, though, and we are expecting the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Criciuma win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Criciuma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
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