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C
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Arena Pantanal
G

Cuiaba
1 - 0
Goias

Goias win 3-1 on penalties
Alves (80')
Pasinato (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Henrique Silva Ribeiro (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Goias 1-0 America Mineiro
Wednesday, December 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro

We said: Cuiaba 0-0 Goias (Goias advances 1-0 on aggregate)

All season long, Goias have looked compact and poised along the backline, and we believe they will be able to handle the Cuiaba press and advance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Goias had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuiaba in this match.

Result
CuiabaDrawGoias
49.4% (-0.221 -0.22) 26.26% (0.046000000000003 0.05) 24.34% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.96% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)56.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)77.12% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)22.74% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (-0.174 -0.17)56.42% (0.171 0.17)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.131 0.13)38.49% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.76% (0.126 0.13)75.24% (-0.129 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 49.39%
    Goias 24.34%
    Draw 26.25%
CuiabaDrawGoias
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.91% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 24.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Metropolitanos
Thursday, May 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-3 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Cuiaba
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Cuiaba
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 1-0 America Mineiro
Wednesday, December 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Goias
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Goias
Thursday, November 30 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-1 Cruzeiro
Tuesday, November 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Goias
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-1 Santos
Thursday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro


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