All season long, Goias have looked compact and poised along the backline, and we believe they will be able to handle the Cuiaba press and advance.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Goias had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuiaba in this match.
-0.22) 
0.05) 
