SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Cuiaba |
61.45% ( 0.31) | 22.75% ( -0.17) | 15.81% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% ( 0.41) | 52.89% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% ( 0.35) | 74.5% ( -0.35) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0.25) | 16.79% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( 0.45) | 46.75% ( -0.45) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.89% ( 0.06) | 46.11% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.19% ( 0.05) | 81.81% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Cuiaba |
| 1-0 @ 13.81% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.71% Total : 61.44% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.81% |
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