SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Italy | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Albania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Croatia | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Albania had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Albania |
52.76% ( 0.65) | 25.35% ( 0.01) | 21.88% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.15% ( -0.67) | 54.85% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% ( -0.56) | 76.15% ( 0.56) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% ( -0) | 20.81% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.53% ( -0) | 53.47% ( 0.01) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.82% ( -1.03) | 40.18% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.18% ( -0.95) | 76.82% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Croatia | Draw | Albania |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.76% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.31% Total : 21.88% |
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