SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 10.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Armenia |
72.71% ( -0.23) | 16.5% ( 0.11) | 10.78% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.84% ( -0.22) | 37.16% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.64% ( -0.23) | 59.36% ( 0.23) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.1% ( -0.11) | 8.89% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.59% ( -0.25) | 30.4% ( 0.25) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.95% ( 0.06) | 44.05% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.83% ( 0.05) | 80.16% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Croatia | Draw | Armenia |
| 2-0 @ 11.46% 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 72.7% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 16.5% | 0-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 10.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Fulham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 18 | Everton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 |
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