Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Albania had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
Result | ||
Italy | Draw | Albania |
54.77% (![]() | 23.83% | 21.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.2% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.55% (![]() | 49.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.51% (![]() | 71.48% (![]() |
Italy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% (![]() | 17.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.25% (![]() | 48.75% (![]() |
Albania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.39% (![]() | 37.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.61% (![]() | 74.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Italy | Draw | Albania |
1-0 @ 11.58% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.96% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.45% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.76% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.39% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: