Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Pumas
36.89% ( -2.11)	24.51% ( -0.18)	38.59% ( 2.28)

Both teams to score 59.54% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.65% (

0.88)

43.35% (

-0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.25% (

0.86)

65.74% (

-0.87)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73% (

-0.7)

23.27% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8% (

-1.03)

57.2% (

1.02)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6% (

1.59)

22.39% (

-1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.09% (

2.33)

55.9% (

-2.33)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 36.89%

Pumas 38.59%

Draw 24.5%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Pumas
2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.89%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.28) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.59%