SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Puebla | Draw | Pumas |
42.15% ( 0.3) | 23.94% ( -0.13) | 33.91% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 61.1% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.9% ( 0.56) | 41.1% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( 0.57) | 63.49% ( -0.57) |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( 0.37) | 19.75% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.21% ( 0.59) | 51.79% ( -0.6) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( 0.17) | 23.86% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.94% ( 0.24) | 58.05% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puebla | Draw | Pumas |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.91% |
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