Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result |
| Necaxa | Draw | Cruz Azul |
28.93% ( -0.23) | 26.82% ( -0.19) | 44.25% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 49.39% ( 0.43) |
| 44.65% ( 0.61) | 55.35% ( -0.61) |
| 23.45% ( 0.5) | 76.55% ( -0.5) |
| 65.73% ( 0.14) | 34.27% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.03% ( 0.15) | 70.97% ( -0.15) |
| 75.13% ( 0.49) | 24.87% ( -0.48) |
