SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Pumas |
36.89% ( -2.11) | 24.51% ( -0.18) | 38.59% ( 2.28) |
| Both teams to score 59.54% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.65% ( 0.88) | 43.35% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% ( 0.86) | 65.74% ( -0.87) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( -0.7) | 23.27% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.8% ( -1.03) | 57.2% ( 1.02) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( 1.59) | 22.39% ( -1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( 2.33) | 55.9% ( -2.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Pumas |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.46)2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.89% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
