SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pumas | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
49.96% ( -0.31) | 24.42% ( -0.02) | 25.62% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( 0.36) | 47.78% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( 0.33) | 69.97% ( -0.33) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( 0.02) | 19.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.19% ( 0.03) | 50.81% ( -0.03) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.12% ( 0.46) | 32.88% ( -0.46) |
