Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Pumas
44.21% ( -0.23)	24.74% ( 0.03)	31.05% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 57.12% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.19% (

-0.05)

45.81% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.87% (

-0.04)

68.13% (

0.04)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

-0.12)

20.79% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.55% (

-0.2)

53.45% (

0.2)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.12% (

0.11)

27.88% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.51% (

0.14)

63.49% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 44.21%

Pumas 31.05%

Draw 24.73%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Pumas
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.21%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.73%	1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.05%