SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Turkey | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Georgia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Czech Republic | Draw | Ukraine |
54.18% ( -0.63) | 23.76% ( 0.2) | 22.06% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.58% ( -0.34) | 48.42% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.45% ( -0.31) | 70.55% ( 0.31) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( -0.36) | 17.77% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% ( -0.62) | 48.47% ( 0.62) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% ( 0.23) | 36.37% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.84% ( 0.23) | 73.16% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Czech Republic | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 54.17% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.06% |
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