SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Ukraine |
60.19% ( -0) | 22.72% ( -0) | 17.08% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% ( 0.02) | 50.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% ( 0.02) | 72.66% ( -0.02) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% ( 0) | 16.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.81% ( 0.01) | 46.19% ( -0.01) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.82% ( 0.02) | 43.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.56% ( 0.01) | 79.44% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.89% Total : 60.18% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 17.08% |
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