SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Ukraine |
38.06% ( 1.23) | 26.24% ( 0.31) | 35.7% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 53.4% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% ( -1.36) | 51.22% ( 1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.95% ( -1.2) | 73.06% ( 1.21) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( 0.06) | 26.24% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.65% ( 0.08) | 61.35% ( -0.07) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( -1.53) | 27.61% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% ( -2.01) | 63.14% ( 2.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moldova | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.7% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
