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National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Princes Park

Dartford
2 - 1
Truro City

Nembhard (22'), Hamon (77' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harvey (90+4')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dartford and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yeovil 3-1 Dartford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Weymouth
Thursday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
DartfordDrawTruro City
32.4% (-0.108 -0.11) 25.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 42.05% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.95% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.1% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)48.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)70.99% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)28.53% (0.081999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (-0.102 -0.1)64.31% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (0.042999999999992 0.04)23.11% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03% (0.064 0.06)56.96% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Dartford 32.4%
    Truro City 42.05%
    Draw 25.54%
DartfordDrawTruro City
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.4%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yeovil 3-1 Dartford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Worthing
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 Dartford
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-2 Eastbourne
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-1 Dartford
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Dartford
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Weymouth
Thursday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 3-1 Maidstone
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Yeovil
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Eastbourne
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Torquay Utd
Monday, April 8 at 7.45pm in National League South


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