SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Always Ready |
59.77% ( -3.18) | 21.87% ( 0.92) | 18.35% ( 2.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( 1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.71% ( -0.17) | 45.29% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( -0.17) | 67.63% ( 0.16) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.25% ( -1.05) | 14.75% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.02% ( -2.04) | 42.98% ( 2.03) |
| Always Ready Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.57% ( 2.61) | 38.43% ( -2.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.82% ( 2.41) | 75.18% ( -2.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Always Ready |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.73)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.74)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.49)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.45% 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.24)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.6% Total : 59.76% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.87% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.53)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.35% |
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