SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 29.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Union |
41.67% ( -0.56) | 29.17% ( 0.12) | 29.16% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 43.05% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.61% ( -0.23) | 63.39% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.25% ( -0.17) | 82.75% ( 0.17) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( -0.43) | 30.04% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.83% ( -0.52) | 66.16% ( 0.52) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.54% ( 0.22) | 38.46% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.79% ( 0.21) | 75.21% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.38% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.16% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 29.15% |
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